Evolución Casos COVID19 España 20 Feb-12 Abril 2020 (D. Fdez-Sevilla PhD)


Evolución Casos COVID19 España 20 Feb-12 Abril 2020 (D. Fdez-Sevilla PhD)

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By Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD (c). orcid.org/0000-0001-8685-0206. CV english and españolResumeInterdisciplinary Skills applied in the line of research presented.- Index for all analyses published. – Shares and Feedback at LinkedIn
Publons: https://publons.com/researcher/3387860/diego-fernandez-sevilla/
Licencia de Creative CommonsEste obra está bajo una licencia de Creative Commons Reconocimiento-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

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El COVID19 en palabras. The COVID19 in words:

Worldwide:

23 March 2020 “Coronavirus COVID19, Man, Weather and Climate (By Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD)” Registered in pdf with DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.24007.44960 Project: Filling In/Finding Out Gaps Around in Environmental Sciences. Diego Fdez-Sevilla

Comunidad Hispano-hablante:

20 March 2020 CoronaVirus COV19 y la Persistencia de Contaminación y Transmisión por Contacto con Superficies. No te conviertas en un problema. Registered  DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.27317.01762 Project: Filling In/Finding Out Gaps Around in Environmental Sciences. Diego Fdez-SevillaDiego Fdez-Sevilla

Estrategias de Contención del COVID19. El Sumatorio de las Curvas de Tasa de Contagio y la Exposición a la Carga Vírica Poblacional (D. Fdez-Sevilla PhD) Registered DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.14543.23202

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La carga vírica es entendida como la concentratción del numero de virus contenidos en una muestra y es un indicador del potencial de contagio que el portador representa para su entorno. Si bien en microbiología esto se corresponde con el contenido en una muestra de sangre, tambien se puede extrapolar a un entorno según la carga virica en el aire y en superficies, o por el numero de personas con carga virica en una localización. Todo ello discutido en el analises publicado el Estrategias de Contención del COVID19. El Sumatorio de las Curvas de Tasa de Contagio y la Exposición a la Carga Vírica Poblacional (D. Fdez-Sevilla PhD) Registered DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.14543.23202)

En base a esta perspectiva estos son los datos de la población y el espacio con carga virica en España a día 12 Abril 2020 y por último, en el mundo a día 15 Abril 2020.

CASOS ACUMULADOS en ESPAÑA por COMUNIDAD AUTONOMA

EVOLUCIÓN del Numero de casos acumulados de COVID19 en ESPAÑA por Comunidad Autónoma

Curvas de CASOS ACUMULADOS en ESPAÑA por COMUNIDAD AUTONOMA

Curvas del Numero de CASOS DIARIOS en ESPAÑA por COMUNIDAD AUTONOMA

n-GLOBAL Casos Diarios COVID19. 10 PAISES con mas CASOS  20 Feb-14 Abril 2020

 

Geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide, as of 15 April 2020 (ecdc.eu)

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Body of Work

Whatever the discussion is about multiples future scenarios, we should be able to, at least, define our present scenario in order to work with it. In my research, and throughout more than 200 analyses, I have worked in this direction. I have described our present scenario based on consolidating theoretical arguments with real time developments. I do not know any other scenario described and published able to do that. After seeking feedback from experts in the field by email (Jennifer Francis among them) and platforms such as AGU and NOAA groups at linkedIn, my assessments have not received comments or arguments invalidating the conclusions presented. I expose my assessments in this blog trying to allow anyone to be the reviewer contrasting current developments with my arguments and conclusions, enabling Official Bodies and Established scientists to consider the value of my research despite its informal format. The current line of research since 2013 has been carried out without institutional or economic support. Funding and sponsorship of any size is welcome in order to acknowledge the value of the effort already invested and to support its continuity.

Author details: d.fdezsevilla@gmail.com” https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com and https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Diego_Fdez-Sevilla(Intellectual Property and Academic Value EGU 2017. GDB4 – Is Open Science the way to go?”. min 56 Q&A Data Citations and Credit on producing data Link to DiscussionEGU 2019 Rewards and recognition in science: what value should we place on contributions that cannot be easily measured Details | StreamCreative Commons License

In research, what it is relevant it is not always what it is New, what doesn´t get old. The relevant research is the one that it survives the pass of time becoming validated by the real time developments implied.

One stage of research comes when looking into offering something New; New data, New interpretations, New methods, making “the News”, being the First … And then, once the “New” has been offered, it is all about confirmation, re-evaluation, validation, review and application.

In my line of research, at one stage I have offered New interpretations on climatic developments adopting New points of view addressing New synergistic interactions delivering New Conclusions and Implications in weather patterns, atmospheric circulation and biotic performance.

In 2014 I shared my conclusions studying atmospheric dynamics and their Climatic implications with the public media and specific Scientists by email. Among all the silence received one voice replied to my call for feedback. I was told by a lead scientist in climatic developments, Prof. Jennifer Francis that;  “The topic you’ve written about is extremely complicated and many of your statements have not yet been verified by peer-reviewed research.” The absence of available arguments to refute my research, instead of recognising my accomplishment, was filled with an excuse (not yet been verified by peer-reviewed research), and even questioned my understanding of the state of the research, knowledge of atmospheric dynamics and not enough analyses supporting my statements.

Revisiting the theory of “Facing a decrease in the differential gradients of energy in atmospheric circulation” by Diego Fdez-Sevilla. Reply to Prof. Jennifer Francis (February 2015) ResearchgateDOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.1975.7602/1

In a following stage I have re-shared all those previous “New assessments” to be contrasted against real time developments being unfold in the next years.

After 200+ analyses 2014-19, have I done enough?diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com

This year 2020 the progression of the climatic dynamics seen show to support the conclusions discussed throughout all the analyses performed in the line of research presented in this blog:

The question driving the whole debate on Climatic Deviations from “a Normal”, or Climatic Drift, focus most of the methodologies on temperature. However I have followed a different approach in my analyses looking at Gradients of Energy in all its forms. That is why in 2014 I offered my thoughts as a theory of practical applications addressing variations in the gradients of energy found in the atmosphere. Energy fuels the work done by warm masses of air displacing colder masses of air in their path. That increases mixing patterns generating anomalies in T. The whole approach described in my theory can be observed by the increasing dynamics displayed in the atmosphere as Rayleigh-Taylor Instabilities due to an increase in global mixing between two fluids with different densities, those from the MidLatitudes and the Arctic. (January 13, 2016 Atmospheric Dynamics And Shapes Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.35973.65765 “Behind an increase in the amount of work carried out by masses of air there is an increase in the energy fuelling such dynamics.” May 16, 2019 Rayleigh–Taylor instabilities in Atmospheric Circulation. Atmospheric Dynamics and Climatic Implications Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.26791.80805

Despite all the theories available my interpretation is simple about what is happening, between global warming and global cooling we are living under a process of global mixing, promoted by an increase in the atmospheric energy pool, using water vapour as the carrier of such energetic extra thanks to an enhanced thermal capacity generated from increasing GHGs, Albedo and Aerosols. The origin of this imbalance in the energetic pool driving the thermodynamic system can be associated with changes in the composition, structure, location and concentration of the components integrating the Planetary system. Human activities can be associated with all those changes

About Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

Data policy The products processed by "Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD" are made available to the public for educational and/or scientific purposes, without any fee on the condition that you credit "Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD" as the source. Copyright notice: © Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD 2013-2019 orcid: orcid.org/0000-0001-8685-0206 and the link to its source at diegofdezsevilla.wordpress or permanent DOI found at Reearchgate. Profile and verified scientific activity also at: https://publons.com/researcher/3387860/diego-fernandez-sevilla/ Should you write any scientific publication on the results of research activities that use Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD products as input, you shall acknowledge the Diego Fdez-Sevilla's PhD Project in the text of the publication and provide an electronic copy of the publication (d.fdezsevilla@gmail.com). If you wish to use the Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD products in advertising or in any commercial promotion, you shall acknowledge the Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD Project and you must submit the layout to Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD for approval beforehand (d.fdezsevilla@gmail.com). The work here presented has no economic or institutional support. Please consider to make a donation to support the means for making sustainable the energy, time and resources required. Also any sponsorship or mentoring interested would be welcome. Intellectual Property This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. By Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD. More guidance on citing this web as a source can be found at NASA webpage: http://solarsystem.nasa.gov/bibliography/citations#! For those publications missing at the ResearchGate profile vinculated with this project DOIs can be generated on demand by request at email: d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com. **Author´s profile: Born in 1974. Bachelor in General Biology, Masters degree "Licenciado" in Environmental Sciences (2001, Spain). PhD in Aerobiology (2007, UK). Lived, acquired training and worked in Spain, UK, Germany and Poland. I have shared the outcome from my work previous to 2013 as scientific speaker in events held in those countries as well as in Switzerland and Finland. After 12 years performing research and working in institutions linked with environmental research and management, in 2013 I found myself in a period of transition searching for a new position or funding to support my own line of research. In the current competitive scenario, in order to demonstrate my capacities instead of just moving my cv waiting for my next opportunity to arrive, I decided to invest my energy and time in opening my own line of research sharing it in this blog. In March 2017 the budget reserved for this project has ended and its weekly basis time frame discontinued until new forms of economic and/or institutional support are incorporated into the project. The value of the data and the original nature of the research presented in this platform and at LinkedIn has proved to be worthy of consideration by the scientific community as well as for publication in scientific journals. However, without a position as member of an institution, it becomes very challenging to be published. I hope that this handicap do not overshadow the value of my achievements and that the Intellectual Property Rights generated with the license of attribution attached are respected and considered by the scientist involved in similar lines of research. **Any comment and feedback aimed to be constructive is welcome as well as any approach exploring professional opportunities.** In this blog I publish pieces of research focused on addressing relevant environmental questions. Furthermore, I try to break the barrier that academic publications very often offer isolating scientific findings from the general public. In that way I address those topics which I am familiar with, thanks to my training in environmental research, making them available throughout my posts. (see "Framework and Timeline" for a complete index). At this moment, 2019, I am living in Spain with no affiliation attachments. Free to relocate geographically worldwide. If you feel that I could be a contribution to your institution, team and projects, don´t hesitate in contact me at d.fdezsevilla (at) gmail.com or consult my profile at LinkedIn, ResearchGate and Academia.edu. Also, I'd appreciate information about any opportunity that you might know and believe it could match with my aptitudes. The conclusions and ideas expressed in each post as part of my own creativity are part of my Intellectual Portfolio and are protected by Intellectual Property Laws. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial conditions. In citing my work from this website, be sure to include the date of access and DOIs found at the Framework and Timeline page and ResearchGate. (c)Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD, 2018. Filling in or/and Finding Out the gaps around. Publication accessed 20YY-MM-DD at https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com/ ***
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1 Response to Evolución Casos COVID19 España 20 Feb-12 Abril 2020 (D. Fdez-Sevilla PhD)

  1. Pingback: Breaking the Mountain of COVID19 (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

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