Evolución Casos COVID19 España 20 Feb-12 Abril 2020 (D. Fdez-Sevilla PhD)
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By Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD (c). orcid.org/0000-0001-8685-0206. CV english and español. Resume. Interdisciplinary Skills applied in the line of research presented.- Index for all analyses published. – Shares and Feedback at LinkedIn
Este obra está bajo una licencia de Creative Commons Reconocimiento-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
El COVID19 en palabras. The COVID19 in words:
23 March 2020 “Coronavirus COVID19, Man, Weather and Climate (By Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD)” Registered in pdf with DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.24007.44960 Project: Filling In/Finding Out Gaps Around in Environmental Sciences. Diego Fdez-Sevilla
20 March 2020 CoronaVirus COV19 y la Persistencia de Contaminación y Transmisión por Contacto con Superficies. No te conviertas en un problema. Registered DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.27317.01762 Project: Filling In/Finding Out Gaps Around in Environmental Sciences. Diego Fdez-SevillaDiego Fdez-Sevilla
10 April 2020 Estrategias de Contención del COVID19. El Sumatorio de las Curvas de Tasa de Contagio y la Exposición a la Carga Vírica Poblacional (D. Fdez-Sevilla PhD) Registered DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.14543.23202
La carga vírica es entendida como la concentratción del numero de virus contenidos en una muestra y es un indicador del potencial de contagio que el portador representa para su entorno. Si bien en microbiología esto se corresponde con el contenido en una muestra de sangre, tambien se puede extrapolar a un entorno según la carga virica en el aire y en superficies, o por el numero de personas con carga virica en una localización. Todo ello discutido en el analises publicado el 10 April 2020 Estrategias de Contención del COVID19. El Sumatorio de las Curvas de Tasa de Contagio y la Exposición a la Carga Vírica Poblacional (D. Fdez-Sevilla PhD) Registered DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.14543.23202)
En base a esta perspectiva estos son los datos de la población y el espacio con carga virica en España a día 12 Abril 2020 y por último, en el mundo a día 15 Abril 2020.
CASOS ACUMULADOS en ESPAÑA por COMUNIDAD AUTONOMA
EVOLUCIÓN del Numero de casos acumulados de COVID19 en ESPAÑA por Comunidad Autónoma
Curvas de CASOS ACUMULADOS en ESPAÑA por COMUNIDAD AUTONOMA
Curvas del Numero de CASOS DIARIOS en ESPAÑA por COMUNIDAD AUTONOMA
n-GLOBAL Casos Diarios COVID19. 10 PAISES con mas CASOS 20 Feb-14 Abril 2020
Geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide, as of 15 April 2020 (ecdc.eu)
Body of Work
Whatever the discussion is about multiples future scenarios, we should be able to, at least, define our present scenario in order to work with it. In my research, and throughout more than 200 analyses, I have worked in this direction. I have described our present scenario based on consolidating theoretical arguments with real time developments. I do not know any other scenario described and published able to do that. After seeking feedback from experts in the field by email (Jennifer Francis among them) and platforms such as AGU and NOAA groups at linkedIn, my assessments have not received comments or arguments invalidating the conclusions presented. I expose my assessments in this blog trying to allow anyone to be the reviewer contrasting current developments with my arguments and conclusions, enabling Official Bodies and Established scientists to consider the value of my research despite its informal format. The current line of research since 2013 has been carried out without institutional or economic support. Funding and sponsorship of any size is welcome in order to acknowledge the value of the effort already invested and to support its continuity.
Author details: firstname.lastname@example.org” https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com and https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Diego_Fdez-Sevilla(Intellectual Property and Academic Value EGU 2017. GDB4 – Is Open Science the way to go?”. min 56 Q&A Data Citations and Credit on producing data Link to Discussion. EGU 2019 Rewards and recognition in science: what value should we place on contributions that cannot be easily measured | Details | Stream
In research, what it is relevant it is not always what it is New, what doesn´t get old. The relevant research is the one that it survives the pass of time becoming validated by the real time developments implied.
One stage of research comes when looking into offering something New; New data, New interpretations, New methods, making “the News”, being the First … And then, once the “New” has been offered, it is all about confirmation, re-evaluation, validation, review and application.
In my line of research, at one stage I have offered New interpretations on climatic developments adopting New points of view addressing New synergistic interactions delivering New Conclusions and Implications in weather patterns, atmospheric circulation and biotic performance.
In 2014 I shared my conclusions studying atmospheric dynamics and their Climatic implications with the public media and specific Scientists by email. Among all the silence received one voice replied to my call for feedback. I was told by a lead scientist in climatic developments, Prof. Jennifer Francis that; “The topic you’ve written about is extremely complicated and many of your statements have not yet been verified by peer-reviewed research.” The absence of available arguments to refute my research, instead of recognising my accomplishment, was filled with an excuse (not yet been verified by peer-reviewed research), and even questioned my understanding of the state of the research, knowledge of atmospheric dynamics and not enough analyses supporting my statements.
Revisiting the theory of “Facing a decrease in the differential gradients of energy in atmospheric circulation” by Diego Fdez-Sevilla. Reply to Prof. Jennifer Francis (February 2015) Researchgate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.1975.7602/1
In a following stage I have re-shared all those previous “New assessments” to be contrasted against real time developments being unfold in the next years.
After 200+ analyses 2014-19, have I done enough?diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com
This year 2020 the progression of the climatic dynamics seen show to support the conclusions discussed throughout all the analyses performed in the line of research presented in this blog:
The question driving the whole debate on Climatic Deviations from “a Normal”, or Climatic Drift, focus most of the methodologies on temperature. However I have followed a different approach in my analyses looking at Gradients of Energy in all its forms. That is why in 2014 I offered my thoughts as a theory of practical applications addressing variations in the gradients of energy found in the atmosphere. Energy fuels the work done by warm masses of air displacing colder masses of air in their path. That increases mixing patterns generating anomalies in T. The whole approach described in my theory can be observed by the increasing dynamics displayed in the atmosphere as Rayleigh-Taylor Instabilities due to an increase in global mixing between two fluids with different densities, those from the MidLatitudes and the Arctic. (January 13, 2016 Atmospheric Dynamics And Shapes Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.35973.65765 “Behind an increase in the amount of work carried out by masses of air there is an increase in the energy fuelling such dynamics.” May 16, 2019 Rayleigh–Taylor instabilities in Atmospheric Circulation. Atmospheric Dynamics and Climatic Implications Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.26791.80805
Despite all the theories available my interpretation is simple about what is happening, between global warming and global cooling we are living under a process of global mixing, promoted by an increase in the atmospheric energy pool, using water vapour as the carrier of such energetic extra thanks to an enhanced thermal capacity generated from increasing GHGs, Albedo and Aerosols. The origin of this imbalance in the energetic pool driving the thermodynamic system can be associated with changes in the composition, structure, location and concentration of the components integrating the Planetary system. Human activities can be associated with all those changes