Attending Conferences from the Distance. European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2018. (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD)
For those of us with no economic support to attend to conferences at least some organisations allow live streaming for some “Selected sessions as well as all press conferences.“
Last year 2017 I already had the chance to watch some presentations from the European Geosciences Union Assembly and I wrote about some of the interesting issues addressed on “scientific communication and data protection” in the publication The Long Road of Communication (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) May 18, 2017.
Also I watched and wrote about the 13th Dec 2016 latest Arctic Report Card from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) presented at the 2016 AGU meeting (American Geophysical Union), in the publication Orbital Seasonality vs Kinetic Seasonality. A Change Triggered from Changing the Order of The Factors (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD) December 17, 2016.
This year 2018 the EGU assembly meets again between the 8-13 April offering some sessions in streaming.
These will be live-streamed and are also available on demand after the conference.
Following the link you will find the overall webstreaming programme. Once the individual sessions start, a link opening the respective stream will appear.
Journalists, science writers, bloggers
If you wish to ask questions remotely during press conferences, you can do so using the chat window you’ll find below the web stream for each press conference. Please provide your name and affiliation and indicate who your question is for when asking. Be courteous and respectful and make sure to protect your private information, as the chat is public. During each press conference, a member of the EGU press team will monitor the chat and read your questions out loud. For more information, check the press conferences page on the EGU media website.
CONTAMINATED WATERS: POLLUTANTS IN RIVERS AND GROUNDWATER
Tuesday, 10 April, 13:00–14:00 (Stream)
Over 2 billion people lack access to safe drinking water around the world. Aside from impacting human health, water pollution can also kill plants and animals, disrupt the food chain, and affect human activities such as agriculture and industry. In this press conference we will hear the preliminary results of a study of 10,000 river (sub)basins to find out how much sewage systems have contributed to water pollution around the world. We will also find out where the hotspots for river pollution are and how many rivers around the world might be polluted by sewage by 2050. Another presentation will focus on the fate of pharmaceuticals in freshwaters, looking to answer questions such as: how are the world’s rivers affected by these human and veterinary contaminants? And how much will this environmental threat increase in the future? A final presentation will focus on the Amazon basin and on how natural contamination of groundwater with arsenic and other trace elements is becoming an emerging health concern in this region.
Postdoc Researcher, Department of Water Science and Engineering, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, the Netherlands
Postdoc Researcher, Water Systems and Global Change group, Wageningen University & Research, the Netherlands
Caroline de Meyer
Researcher, Eawag, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, Dübendorf, Switzerland
Based on previous research published in the line of research presented in this blog I made a question, which did not reach the speakers.
The analyses published in the line of research presented in this blog were published on July 17, 2014:
|July 17, 2014||Could plastic debris, coarse, fine and molecules (polymers), affect oceans functions as climate regulator, CO2 sink, albedo, evaporation…? (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla) Researchgate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.1469.6407|
The question that I tried to make across in this EGU 2018:
My interest in this conferences comes as part of the review required to contrast and validate the conclusions reached from the analyses performed and published in the line of research presented in this blog (and ResearchGate).
After 12 years studying atmospheric dynamics driving processes of biological particle release and transport, in 2013 I focused my attention on analysing the triggers affecting the conditions behind those atmospheric dynamics and the implications derived affecting climatic developments. In my research I identified a missing approach in the state of knowledge. This led me to propose a theory finding a nexus point between all the results found in peer review publications which reflected a lack of mechanisms and theories proposed explaining the drivers behind the data analysed and the disparity in the results found. In order to test over time the validity of this theory I offer it once more for public review after four winters; winter 14-15, 15-16, 16-17 and 17-18.
|February 10, 2015||Revisiting the theory of “Facing a decrease in the differential gradients of energy in atmospheric circulation” by Diego Fdez-Sevilla. Researchgate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.1975.7602/1|
Following its proposal I have published analyses at weekly basis over 4 years contrasting the accuracy of my approach with real time developments. The results obtained from more than 150 analyses support the mechanism described indicating an increase in the dispersion and content of Energy throughout the atmosphere as result of environmental transformations by favouring the release of Energy into Free state, its accumulation by GHGs and its transport by water vapour.
My definition of Climate Drift is:
The deviation from equilibrium of the conditions allowing the perpetuity of an established symbiotic relationship between biotic and none biotic components in a micro and macro ecosystem. This situation can be due to changes in any component of the ecosystem playing a synergistic effect over the rest. And the causes can be either a change in the magnitude of the already implemented forces in place, changes in the directionality or rates in the flows of energy pre-established OR/AND the impact suffered by the incorporation of new components/forces and energy sinks or sources in any part of the system interfering with the previously established order and balance.
Identifying the complexity of modelling can be complicated. Understanding the simplicity of what the models try to explain can be even more complicated than that. Or maybe, inherently within our models we are just projecting our own limitations to understand the simplicity of things.
Energy fuels the work done by warm masses of air displacing colder masses of air in their path. That increases mixing patterns generating anomalies in temperature. So behind an increase in the amount of work carried out by masses of air there is an increase in the energy fuelling such dynamics. Energy can only be transferred, not created or destroyed. So more work means more energy in circulation. More energy in circulation can only be sustained by a substance carrying it. Either if we consider that the energy driving anomalies comes from the Sun or from the Oceans, the carrier has to be in the atmosphere in order for the energy to produce work. And the body loosing heat cools down.
The question driving the whole debate on Climatic Deviations from “a Normal”, or Climatic Drift, focus most of the methodologies on temperature.
Based on my efforts for contrasting the accuracy of my theory over Gradients of Energy, in 2014 I sent several messages to different scientists searching for feedback. One of those scientists has been Jennifer Francis to whom I have to be, initially, grateful for her attention.
On December 2, 2014, I sent her an email asking for feedback about my theory assessing global atmospheric circulation.
On December 17, 2014, I was very grateful for having her answer:
“On this particular topic, I would suggest reading the recent review paper that I’ve attached, which includes an extensive bibliography of relevant papers. (from the mentioned review paper:
- How that signal propagates out of the Arctic to mid-latitudes differs and can be loosely grouped under three broad dynamical frameworks: (1) changes in storm tracks mainly in the North Atlantic sector; (2) changes in the characteristics of the jet stream; and (3) regional changes in the tropospheric circulation that trigger anomalous planetary wave configurations.
- The theory that Arctic amplification is resulting in a slower zonal jet, increased meridional flow, amplified waves and more persistent extreme weather has received a lot of attention from the media, policymakers and climate scientists. In part due to the high profile, this hypothesis has been scrutinized in the scientific literature more extensively than other hypotheses linking Arctic climate change to mid-latitude weather. However, it is worth noting that other studies on related topics, especially other observational studies, share some of the same shortcomings: lack of statistical significance, causality unclear, incomplete mechanistic understanding, and so on))
(email continues) The topic you’ve written about is extremely complicated and many of your statements have not yet been verified by peer-reviewed research. It is an exciting and active new direction in research, though, so I encourage you to pursue it. To get funding or a job in this field, however, will require a deeper understanding of the state of the research, knowledge of atmospheric dynamics (not just suggestive examples and anecdotal evidence), and statements supported by published (or your own) analysis.”
On December 24, 2014, I sent her my reply, which represents the final one since it has not been further communication:
“I just want to thank you for giving me a chance and read my ideas. What I wrote was after reading that Cohen proposed that early snowfall over asia increases albedo leading to heat retention in the atmosphere provoking Arctic ice to melt and create heat absorption leading to jet stream weakening due to Arctic Amplification in atm heat absorption. I believe that all of that is a consequence and not the trigger. That is a symptom and not the cause. My theory tries to find common ground to explain the cause leading to amplification, blocking patterns associated to deep cyclonic events, a pause in atmospheric T raise, increase in kinetic energy dispersed over the whole hemisphere, water flash floods, as well as frequent trans-equatorial circulation between hemispheres at jet stream level. I will try to find data to support my theory and I am open to reconsider all my assumptions. That’s why I really appreciate your input.”
Throughout the analyses published in my line of research since 2013 I have followed a different approach from main stream, using Gradients of Energy in all its forms. That is why in 2014 I offered my thoughts as a theory of practical applications.
Some of the applications derived from following the conclusions offered address the expected absence of a positive phase in the Equatorial Pacific SST “El Nino” in order to see warmer than normal temperatures in Arctic latitudes and Altitudes:
- December 11, 2015 Could It Be El Niño The New “Wolf” Coming? Researchgate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.3238.2801
- March 22, 2016 Pacific atmospheric dynamics with and without a positive ENSO Reasearchgate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.1968.5521)
- February 4, 2016 Polar Vortex, Old News, Same News? (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla) ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.25779.12328
- October 25, 2016 Another Heat Wave Another Polar Vortex II … Broken (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, Ph.D.) ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.13418.93124
Another example of the applications from previous analyses and conclusions described the increasing strength seeing a new configuration over Arctic circulation, a trans-Arctic connectivity between Pacific and Atlantic Basins, driven by mid-latitude convective forcing and affecting Polar and Equatorial dynamics reaching global scales into the SH:
- September 8, 2015 A Climate “Between Waters” (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla). Reasearchgate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.1697.5847
- October 21, 2015 Discussing Climatic Teleconnections. Follow Up On My Previous Research (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla) ResearchGate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.2962.7605
- September 14, 2016 Between Global Cooling and Global Warming There Is “Global Mixing” (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, Ph.D.) Researchgate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.19874.63684
- October 7, 2016 Equatorial Dynamics. A conversation between Joaquin and Matthew (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.) Researchgate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.13720.08960
- October 13, 2016 Global Mixing in Atmospheric Dynamics (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla Ph.D.) ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.21255.60320
- November 17, 2016 Arctic Amplification versus Arctic Absorption (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.) Researchgate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.24688.35848
- February 28, 2018 Arctic Warming as a Result of Convective Forcing by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD Pdf at ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.34551.73125
- November 5, 2015 There is Ice or Frost In Antarctica? (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla) Researchgate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.17938.15048
- March 3, 2017 The Antarctic Bubble (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD)
A corridor of wind over the Arctic is triggered by a conversion of Temperature into work, convection and advection, which are the result of mixing masses of air. As I have published in previous analyses, such Trans-Arctic connection between Atlantic and Pacific Basins is part of a pattern increasing the mixing ratio between masses of air otherwise separated by thermal compartmentalization, like the Polar Jet Stream. An increase in the dispersion of energetic forms have different outcomes, one of which it would be a temporary reduction in the average temperature resultant for the mixing between Cold (Arctic) and warm (Mid-Latitude) masses of air as well as in altitude (SSW).
So “temperature” is less reliable than looking at “work” seen even in the “mild” events.
The main conclusion from my 4 years of researching synergistic interactions between all transformations seen over the Liquid, Gaseous and solid phases of our global Environment indicates that anthropogenic activity is forcing our environment into A System Becoming Dominated By Free Energy. (DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.18509.13289 https://wp.me/p403AM-1Bb)
The biotic component of our environmental system is the only one capable of interacting against thermodynamic entropy, against instability. And for as long as Human activity can not replicate such mechanisms in equilibrium with the resources consumed, it might be time to think about domesticating Human Activities instead of following the obsession for Domesticating Natural Behaviour and Geoengineer our Weather.
I only have my own analyses to support such assessments, and I am aware of that in order to consider any value over such assessments, some people needs to see it in a peer reviewed article published in a renown journal. My process allows anyone to be the reviewer contrasting current developments with my assessments.
(After leaving months, even years of time to expose my conclusions for public discussion and review, once those have no faced any criticism or arguments refuting their value, I create a pdf file and a DOI publishing them at my profile in Researchgate. In order to maintain their genuineness and legitimate innovative nature, I keep its original state so those can be compared with any copy made by any third party at any time. For your own references and review over its originality over time with respect to other publications via scientific papers and/or news reports, you can compare the publications at the blog and researchgate with the records archived:
- at the web.archive.org site http://web.archive.org/web/*/diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com
- ResearchGate profile https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Diego_Fdez-Sevilla
- LinkedIn Public shares https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com/diego-fdez-sevilla-phds-research-reach/
- Full Index of Analyses and Timeline https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com
- Linkedin Group AGU: https://www.linkedin.com/groupItem?view=&gid=2196290&type=member&item=5986214897078272003
- LInkedin Group NOAA: https://www.linkedin.com/groupItem?view=&gid=156873&type=member&item=5986214921963077634)
East Atlantic-South Europe 10 April 2018
|March 7, 2015||Drops of Weather. (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla)ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.33796.63360|
|May 14, 2015||A roller-coaster of temperatures in South Europe. Spain (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla) ResearchGate: DOI:10.13140/RG.2.2.27634.20165|
|May 5, 2017||Mixing Temperatures keep shaping A Roller coaster of Temperatures over South Europe. Follow-up on previous research 5th May 17. (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.16627.43043|