Soils, Plants and Precipitation (By Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD)
Recently I have read a piece of writting at LinkedIn from one member of my network about the relevancy of droughts. (you can see it without a LinkedIn account following the link here).
To some extent I have offered some feedback sharing my thoughts in this topic and I would like to add it to the line of research presented in this blog in order to extend the implications from previous assessments.
I agree with the level of relevancy that this publications offers into the topic of droughts and their impacts over the economy. I am sorry that I do not have time to look at it in depth but I can say that there are some points where I do not agree.
For instance, I do not agree with one of the conclusions that you mention coming from looking at an increase in the river water flows globally being above the global quantity of precipitation.
The conclusion raised says that such situation would indicate a decrease in aridity at global scale since it would point to an increase in the humidity of soils. (“um sinal de diminuição da aridez a escala global é que o volume de caudais dos rios parece que tem aumentado mais que a quantia global das precipitações, o qual indicaria um incremento da humidade dos solos.”)
Without having looked at the data supporting such assessment I can say that, based just on the possibility of having an increase in water flows higher than in precipitation, such circumstance can actually showcase the opposite from an increase in soils humidity.
As the aridity of soils increases it gets reduced the amount of water that those can take, accordingly increasing run off processes. Which would lead to an increase in river water flows.
The actual problem that makes things complicated in environmental assessments is the tendency to link processes by their magnitude. People take conclusions from seeing strong statistical correlations but without explanation of empirical or analogical processes. Even the soil humidity measured by satellites carries a level of uncertainty since it is based on measurements obtained by the echoes of wavelengths reflected by only the superficial layer of the soil.
One of the mayor problems of the present times comes from the compaction of soils due to extended periods of droughts. When this process starts to happen, rain does not get into through the depth of the soil. Actually, well drained soils would remain dry at surface level despite of precipitation since low volumes of water received would move in depth. But also, compacted soils would deflect the water received in a run-of process.
So we can end up with dry soils deflecting water into rivers, and even low flow rates in rivers surrounded by very permeable soils capable of taking high volumes of water.
The structure of the soil is what it is at stake beyond even after there is any recovering in precipitation.
And that also comes when considering the effect of evapotranspiration in plants.
With more CO2 the increase in evapotranspiration and changes in stomata are subjected to nutrients in the soils, as well as by the structure of it.
We can measure increase in photosyntheses in an area covered by grass, and that not means that this green area represents a humid regime. Actually, a river with a low flow rate, or a water reservoir without water, will substitute echoes of a water body with photosynthesis delivered by grasses.
Nothing even close to a healthy forest fixing Carbon as part of a food chain with its own environmental resilience. No biomass perdurable in time, no energy flow rates self-sustained, …
If you have time you can read some extended discussion over my point of view at previous publications shared in the line of research oresented in this blog, which also contain references to external sources:
Plant growth, CO2, Soil and Nutrients. (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.) Posted on March 31, 2016 https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com/2016/03/31/plant-growth-co2-soil-and-nutrients-by-diego-fdez-sevilla/ Researchgate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.5173.0803
Environmental Questions and Answers for Petrol Fans (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.) Posted on August 2, 2016 https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com/2016/08/02/questions-and-answers-by-diego-fdez-sevilla-phd/
CO2 Tree Management and Technology. Discussion Review By Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com/2017/05/26/co2-makes-headlines-to-grow-like-trees-shaping-different-forests-offering-different-views-by-diego-fdez-sevilla-phd/ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.16286.33601
Thermodynamic Ecosystems by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com/2017/03/03/thermodynamic-ecosystems-by-diego-fdez-sevilla-phd/ ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.32238.10566
Present Line of Research
In February 21, 2014 I wrote my first assessment over climatic alterations pointing out the need to focus the attention over the enhanced capacity of the atmosphere to contain water vapour and the repercussion over energetic dynamics through the atmosphere
In this publication in my blog I offered in a nutshell what it was my assessment about the global state of the atmospheric dynamics, the climatic implications for the environment and the restrictions behind modelling. At the time it might seem like clatter in the echo chamber of things. Even in Dec 2014 Prof. Jennifer Francis replied to me claiming that
“many of your statements have not yet been verified by peer-reviewed research.
But furthermore, she acknowledged her own distant position and lack of understanding over my line of research by claiming that:
“To get funding or a job in this field, however, will require a deeper understanding of the state of the research, knowledge of atmospheric dynamics (not just suggestive examples and anecdotal evidence), and statements supported by published (or your own) analysis.”
(email exchange in full here)
Therefore, throughout the next three years I looked at all of my arguments embedded in those little phrases, looking for methods and sustainable analysis capable of building a message strong enough to make them worth of attention. I have sliced each argument in individual assessments in order to address their significant meaning. Now that the project has gone through all those aspects offering assessments for each one separately and as a whole, I believe that this little piece of writing will recover the original meaning with which it was intended.
|February 21, 2014||Resilience in our models (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla) ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.27974.98884|
In order to ensure the veracity of my claims over its original day of publication and content, this link points to the web archive which keeps record of it. (also available at the blog with updated links to posterior content):
On October 21, 2014 I published my theory describing the mechanisms involved and some of the repercussions derived:
|October 21, 2014||(Updated 22/Dec/14) New theory proposal to assess possible changes in Atmospheric Circulation (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla) Researchgate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.4859.3440“Based on my theory, Greenhouse gases store energy which leads to an increase in global temperature. This increase in T, altogether with synergistic effects of aerosols, allows more water vapor to be contained in the atmosphere, which consequently adds more energy into the atmosphere in form of latent heat and kinetic energy.”|
All more than 150 following publications are just different attempts to describe real time developments showing links with my ideas.
|February 10, 2015||(UPGRADED 24th March2015) Revisiting the theory of “Facing a decrease in the differential gradients of energy in atmospheric circulation” by Diego Fdez-Sevilla. Researchgate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.1975.7602/1|
|September 14, 2016||Between Global Cooling and Global Warming There Is “Global Mixing” (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, Ph.D.) Researchgate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.19874.63684|
|November 17, 2016||Arctic Amplification versus Arctic Absorption (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.) Researchgate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.24688.35848|
|December 17, 2016||Orbital Seasonality vs Kinetic Seasonality. A Change Triggered from Changing the Order of The Factors (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD) Researchgate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.20129.81760|
|January 20, 2017||Climate and Indexes. A dashboard of Confusion. (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.25016.96007|
Reaching at …
|March 23, 2017||Final Review in Progress. March 2017. From ENSO to Scientific Thinking by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD. ResearchGate DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.33915.82726|
|August 31, 2017||Climate. A System Becoming Dominated By Free Energy. The “Drama”, Character Driven VS Plot Driven (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) ResearchGate: DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.18509.13289|
|September 19, 2017||Atmospheric Dynamics and Climatic Drifts. In Conclusion (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.27051.75045|
And Beyond … see Main Page or explore the categories at the top of the page.
For More related posts in this topic see timeline page to consult the index with all previous assessments published by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD. (author’s email: firstname.lastname@example.org)
After finishing my Masters in Biology Environmental Science in 2001, I have performed research at PhD level and worked inside and outside academia at institutions linked with environmental research and management. In 2013 I found myself in a period of transition searching for a new job’s position.
In such competitive scenario, instead of just moving my cv between desks waiting for my next opportunity to arrive, I used it as an advantageous standing point to start and develop independent research in a blog in which I could open my own line of research completely free of external pressures or interferences.
Through the whole project I have increasingly being focused on publishing pieces of original research applying my own perspective aiming to address relevant environmental questions.
The level of uncertainty which I have accomplished in my assessments has reached enough accuracy to replicate real time developments to the point of compete with models sustained by corporate and administrative budgets.
On Feb 2017, it has reached an stage in which its framework has been defined and it has been applied in follow-ups (in the timeline section at the bottom use ctrl+F: “follow-up”) delivering the subsequent conclusions. Therefore, the work which I present in my blog has become a chapter in my career, and I should focus now my attention on my new steps towards professional and personal growth.
The economic support sustaining the three years of research presented in this blog has been private based on my own capacity to generate it. Once the main conclusions of the project have demonstrated their value, in the absence of economic support, I can only look into other activities aside offering detailed assessments in this blog in order to keep moving while hoping that my published work could call the interest for its continuity from external sources of financial support.
Therefore, since Feb 2017, the generation of assessments over real-time developments discontinues its weekly bases due to the absence of financial support.
You have to be aware of that while one single line of writing containing an original idea can be read in seconds, reaching such idea might take weeks, months or years of analyses and reasoning. Such process is time consuming and require to achieve a state of mind where the focus of attention is prioritised over the subject under study above other matters. This state of mind can only be achieved and maintained when there is no need to address solving the challenge of being under the pressure of having to find access to all kind of material resources while also searching for ways to support an autonomous life style.
If you are interested in the continuity of this project, please share your interest publicly so investors and institutions might recognise its value and offer the support required to make this research an activity sustainable in a full time schedule.
Some people might think that being independent is related with being free from economical agendas. Since we all rely on economic support to sustain our activities, every activity require economic support. Being “independent” is a mindset which only should reflect an attitude based on a self-evolved criteria built upon a critical mind. It should not be identified with isolation but instead with the reputation of the source offering an opinion.
I am sorry I can not be involved in discussions and assessments in a full time-frame since I do not have the required economic support.
I only hope that with my previous activity I have been able to build a reputation over my capacity to analyse situations, make assessments, build communication channels and interact with others. And I hope that it will help me to find a team interested in sharing such attitude helping to support the reputation of institution/s involved.
Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD In transition
I am looking for new opportunities and new challenges, to join a team. At the same time that I look for job openings to incorporate my resume, I would encourage any one finding interesting any of the skills which I apply throughout my research, as well as communicator, to evaluate my profile as a candidate for your projects. email d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com
You can look at the whole project (more than 190 posts between Oct 2013 to Feb 2017) published at https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com and also you will find some of those publications in my profile at ResearchGate and at the Citations page.
I am living in Spain free to relocate geographically worldwide.
About this Project:
My definition of Climate Drift is: the deviation from equilibrium of the conditions allowing the perpetuity of an established symbiotic relationship between biotic and none biotic components in a micro and macro ecosystem. This situation can be due to changes in any component of the ecosystem playing a synergistic effect over the rest. And the causes can be either a change in the magnitude of the already implemented forces in place, changes in the directionality or rates in the flows of energy pre-established OR/AND the impact suffered by the incorporation of new components/forces and energy sinks or sources in any part of the system interfering with the previously established order and balance.
This project published in a blog format, offers pieces of original research in environmental science, and a space for discussion, based on considering as a major factor limiting our understandings the lack of attention given to the gaps of knowledge existent. The concepts, measurements and parameters applied to address environmental synergistic interactions are too narrow and isolated from each other to understand their full meaning. Such circumstance induce to reach dogmatic patterns of thought to make the quickest conclusions in the absence of a better and clear idea describing what is happening.
In this Project I aim to address those limitations using observational analyses offering assessments over real time events considering those as proxies of significant value to make interpretations over global synergistic relationships.
Feedback is always welcome here and at my email d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com
Since 2002 I have performed research over the Atmospheric Dynamics interacting with the biota in the field of Aerobiology. In Oct 2013 I focused my attention over climatic dynamics and in Oct 2014 I published what I believe to be a valid theory explaining current developments in atmospheric dynamics. I shared my thoughts at my blog and several groups in LinkedIn (like the AGU, NASA and NOA groups) where the immense response offered has been silence.
In Feb 2015 I published a revision and since then a constant follow-up throughout more than 200 assessments. Still today, April 2017, the majority of the response is silence despite the amount of visits identified by all the SEO tools and the interactions and shares accounted. See the related stats at the Timeline page.
So I thank your open feedback and share.
Nowadays, there are many divisions between disciplines due to the isolated nature of their specific language and methodologies. I might not use the right vocabulary for all the fields which I discuss, or the right data or the right reasoning. But when nobody is able to offer a consensus over what it is going on, I wonder, what is right this days?.