Just Thinking on Climate (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD)


Just Thinking on Climate (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD)

(last update 30 Nov 2016 23.48 +1UTC)

From businessinsider.com, Lindsay Dodgson Nov. 17, 2016.

Stephen Hawking: Humans have only about 1,000 years left

Stephen Hawking: Humans have only about 1,000 years left

businessinsider.com Our days on Earth are numbered.

“During a talk at the Oxford Union debating society this week, the renowned theoretical physicist said humanity probably had only about 1,000 years left before going extinct. “

Just thinking

This kind of phrases raise always a very lively debate and discussion about how much of it can be true and how much is just playing with sensationalism.

What nobody seems to realise is that in those kind of general assessments, he is referring to those humans with access to resources. This assessment talks about the last survivors. As the resources become less available the more elitist will become humanity. If 1000 years are left for those enjoying privileges, money, status… the question is how long would last the other percentage…

Just make a simple statistical analysis. Take life expectancy differences by poverty level, social status, education, economic stability, health care access, … and subtract the proportional difference to 1000 years so you can see how long will be the life expectancy for “our” populations.

 

Every time I see the argument “Climate Change was something that occurred before humans existed and that carbon dioxide actually benefits humans, animals and nature in general” it really makes me wonder, what is the conversation about?

There is nothing unnatural in having the climate changing, all types of climate are natural as much as those in Venus or Jupiter. And the CO2 conc is nothing that it will make the Earth explode or nothing like that. The question in here is if we, as specie, are fit to cope with this change based on only one strategy for survival, which is implanted through consuming resources in a none returnable cycle, transforming all those forms of life support we need from natural sources: Air, water, soil, food, space,… because many species have perished through time of changing climates, others were pushed to survive in reduced locations.

For me some question encapsulate many points,

  • can we go through a climate change?
  • And then, what can we do about it?

In the 90’s, when I was studying my Masters in Environmental Biology, there were new developments arising making the settle science which we were studying a matter of an exciting challenge.

Two concepts were becoming very alive for me: – science is a dynamic environment vs static.

Uncertainty plays a role which comes with the nature of the scientists and his interpretation of what he sees. What is settled for some, in a moment in time, might become obsolete by the new contribution of a different scientist, but also,

– that what we were studying as independent parts; the alive geology of our planet, the oceans, the living forms and their kingdoms, and the atmosphere, are all involved in a chain reaction which was captured by the theory of the Butterfly effect.

Both concepts are required to be adopted in any systemic way of looking into environmental developments. There is nothing innocuous in our environmental system, everything which exists, just by its mere existence sustains, promotes, feeds, allows or inhibits processes.

The human attitude towards nature is that we can domesticate nature as if nature needs to be domesticated to survive. When in fact, we, as specie, are the one who has grown and evolved thanks to the state of nature before we even appeared in this planet.

This attitude has to change if we want to change the course of our history, and science and scientists have to learn forms to engage with the rest of society in order to make this change a common goal. Those who call themselves outsiders, or inadequate to understand what science is talking about play a role in this change as important as the scientist affiliated to the highest institution, because the reality of our own evolution is relying on all members of our society despite education or social status.

It is not that every member of our society “has to be educated enough to understand science. But science has to be able to spark the curiosity required to be willing to learn the simplicity and usefulness of knowing.

Every year the UN runs a poll which surveys people’s greatest concerns across the world.

un-poll-i-diego-fdez-sevilla-phd

Climate change comes the last priority in a world in which just to survive is difficult enough.

un-poll-iii-diego-fdez-sevilla-phd

Only by implementing and supporting the process of learning as well as integrating in our societies the use and applications of knowledge to solve situations and achieve goals, will make possible a tangible change in the inertia of our evolution.

un-poll-ii-diego-fdez-sevilla-phdOne thing calls my attention in this poll. Nigeria has the majority of votes by a number which is enormous when compared with the rest of the other western countries. So I wonder. If in order to participate in this poll each vote represents a computer and paying for access to internet, do those votes from Nigeria mean the differences in number of people capable of paying for a computer and access to internet when compared with the other countries?, really?

Furthermore, if you don´t have the capacity to pay for food, health care, electricity, or to buy a computer and pay for access to internet, would you really have as a priority to be worried for any type of climate?

Being honest, to have as “a priority” being worried for a question designed to be dealt with by “renowned scientists” and “politicians” (not everybody’s opinion has the same value), or as a mere hobby in blogs (like this one?), chats and discussions,  is a privilege which has to be taken with humble pride by those whom can enjoy not to have other more urgent and personal priorities.

There is one interpretation that I make from this poll.

The positions of Politicians and Scientists in our societies are defined to address different responsibilities in their duties. The order for the most demanded priorities and responsibilities are aimed to duties to be adopted by politicians. And just climate change is a responsibility which could be addressed to scientists.

So it seems that the priorities in our societies demand political changes urgently. I only hope that with those we could also find some improvement in those issues driving the scientific input over climatic developments.

(last update 30 Nov 2016 23.48 +1UTC)

_______________________________________________

Author’s Disclosure Declaration

For those unaware of the content offered in this blog I might have to issue a warning: Handle with care. Also with the product obtained from scientific analytical thinking there are traces of personal and professional “passion”, by-products obtained from “original and unpeered grey matter juice” originated from “independent critical thinking”. Also sometimes the packaging might be rough around the edges due to its “unfunded nature”.

4 years ago I joined a discussion which made me realise how much knowledge was settled on the past, built upon past conventions and unable to give answers about present developments in all parts of our environment. From the impact from GMOs, plastics, soils degradation, atmospheric composition, land use and cover, water cycles, … I had addressed scientifically unanswered questions before doing my PhD so I decided to give it a go and to offer my take over those gaps. It has been a pilgrimage to become aware of how much faith and fear is put on scientific publishing above raw understanding and discussion.

I do not know how far this blog will go, however, it represents the assessment of a global process and I expect that past posts will become a description of continuous present for the next years.

Altogether, the body of work which represents the line of research presented in this blog is composed by 170 pieces, covering data analyses and conceptual discussions. All those different discussions and assessments presented here build together a single concept. The format applied is the result of making a big effort trying to apply simplistic approaches with the aim to allow a multidisciplinary access. Since the topics treated in my publications have implications for many sectors in the academic and not academic world, with the aim of allowing my research for open review, there is also the objective of allowing access to a multisectorial and multidisciplinary audience sharing interest.

Diego Fdez-Sevilla Ph.D.

For a more profound discussion over my assessments and analyses as well as constructive feedback, please use my email d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com.

My agenda is simple, I am in transition looking for either funding to grow the research published in this blog or for a job position in any field in which my assets are valued. Behind my research there is nothing more, nothing else than to showcase my capabilities doing what I like, research. I am a methodologist. I don´t look at the color of the result obtained, only at the suitability of the method and the coherence of the result. As I have said before, if I am wrong on my assessments and conclusions, it will be better for all, and my work would showcase my capabilities anyway. A CV shines the goals obtained by anyone, but by publishing here my research, I expose myself and my work to public judgement. There is a difference between being naive and raw. If you see the difference you will understand better my work and my personal position.

The aim of publishing my work openly is to allow for it to be exposed for an open review. So any constructive feedback is welcome. After a period of time of at least a month from the publishing date on this blog and at LinkedIn, if no comments are found refuting the value of the piece published I then publish it at ResearchGate generating a DOI for posterior references.

In order to protect my intellectual rights, more assessment in depth and the statistical and numerical analyses that I have performed to support my arguments can be discussed at my email: d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com

If you find that my work is worthy to be acknowledged, share your thoughts openly and publicly because by sharing public acknowledging over the value of my work is what will help me in order to find the attention from those able to allow me access to a job position or resources to increase the functionality of my research.

Perspective

(This post is part of a more complex piece of independent research. I don´t have funding, political agenda or publishing revenues from visits. Any scientist working in disciplines related with the topics that I treat in my blog knows how to judge the contribution that my work could potentially add to the state of knowledge. Since I am in transition looking for a position in research, if you are one of those scientists, by just acknowledging any value you might see from my contribution, would not only make justice to my effort as independent researcher, but ultimately, it will help me to enhance my chances to find a position with resources to further develop my work.

I believe that the hypothesis that I have presented in previous posts in this blog (here, here and here) could help to understand present and possible future scenarios in atmospheric circulation. However, this is an assessment based on observation which needs to be validated throughout open discussion and data gathering. So please feel free to incorporate your thoughts and comments in a constructive manner.

If you feel like sharing this post I would appreciate to have a reference about the place or platform, by private or public message, in order for me to have the opportunity to join the debate and be aware of the repercussion which might generate d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com

This work is protected under Intellectual Property laws licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.)

Since October 2013 I have been publishing pieces of research studying the behaviour of the Polar Jet Stream and the weather events associated as well as the implications derived into atmospheric dynamics and environmental synergies.

Many of the atmospheric configurations and weather and climate events we see these days are very similar with the progression followed since 2013. Please take a look at posts addressing those events from previous publications in this blog or look at the categories in the top menu. Also at research-gate. Feedback is always welcomed either in this blog or at my email (d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com). All my work is part of my Intellectual Portfolio, registered under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License,  WordPress.com license and it is being implemented at my profile in researchgate. I will fight for its recognition in case of misuse.

More assessments presenting chronologically the line of research published in this blog can be accessed in the category Framework and Timeline.

For anybody interested in the posts related with this discussion here I leave you those more relevant in chronological order (there are comments bellow some of them. Please check them out):

Advertisements

About Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

Citing This Site "Title", published online "Month"+"Year", retrieved on "Month""Day", "Year" from http://www.diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com. By Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD. More guidance on citing this web as a source can be found at NASA webpage: http://solarsystem.nasa.gov/bibliography/citations#! DOIs can be generated on demand by request at email: d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com for those publications missing at the ResearchGate profile vinculated with this project. **Author´s profile: Born in 1974. Bachelor in General Biology, Masters degree "Licenciado" in Environmental Sciences (2001, Spain). PhD in Aerobiology (2007, UK). Lived, acquired training and worked in Spain, UK, Germany and Poland. I have shared the outcome from my work previous to 2013 as scientific speaker in events held in those countries as well as in Switzerland and Finland. After 12 years performing research and working in institutions linked with environmental research and management, in 2013 I found myself in a period of transition searching for a new position or funding to support my own line of research. In the current competitive scenario, in order to demonstrate my capacities instead of just moving my cv waiting for my next opportunity to arrive, I decided to invest my energy and time in opening my own line of research sharing it in this blog. In March 2017 the budget reserved for this project has ended and its weekly basis time frame discontinued until new forms of economic and/or institutional support are incorporated into the project. The value of the data and the original nature of the research presented in this platform and at LinkedIn has proved to be worthy of consideration by the scientific community as well as for publication in scientific journals. However, without a position as member of an institution, it becomes very challenging to be published. I hope that this handicap do not overshadow the value of my achievements and that the Intellectual Property Rights generated with the license of attribution attached are respected and considered by the scientist involved in similar lines of research. **Any comment and feedback aimed to be constructive is welcome as well as any approach exploring professional opportunities to be part of.** In this blog I publish pieces of research focused on addressing relevant environmental questions. Furthermore, I try to break the barrier that academic publications very often offer isolating scientific findings from the general public. In that way I address those topics which I am familiar with, thanks to my training in environmental research, making them available throughout my posts. (see "Framework and Timeline" for a complete index). At this moment, 2017, I am living in Spain with no affiliation attachments. Free to relocate geographically worldwide. If you feel that I could be a contribution to your institution, team and projects don´t hesitate in contact me at d.fdezsevilla (at) gmail.com or consult my profile at LinkedIn, ResearchGate and Academia.edu. Also, I'd appreciate information about any opportunity that you might know and believe it could match with my aptitudes. The conclusions and ideas expressed in each post as part of my own creativity are part of my Intellectual Portfolio and are protected by Intellectual Property Laws. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial conditions. In citing my work from this website, be sure to include the date of access. (c)Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD, 2017. Filling in or Finding Out the gaps around. Publication accessed 20YY-MM-DD at https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com/
This entry was posted in Filling in, Opinion and tagged . Bookmark the permalink.

8 Responses to Just Thinking on Climate (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD)

  1. Pingback: “The Answer to the Ultimate Question of Life, the Universe, and Everything” is … 42 (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

  2. Pingback: RECAP 9Dec16 on previous assessments (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

  3. Pingback: Wind conditions 250 hPa Jet Stream. What a Mess. (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

  4. Pingback: Worst than a change is a pattern of no change ( by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

  5. Pingback: Orbital Melting vs Kinetic Melting (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

  6. Pingback: The value of having a point of view (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

  7. Pingback: Temp Displacements. Solid Water In A Dessert Which Is Not At The Poles. (By Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

  8. Pingback: Breaking Stereotypes Assessing Climatic Dynamics (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s