Meteorological Outlook Feb 2015 (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla)


Atmospheric circulation and Meteorological Outlook Feb 2015 (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla)

The conditions over the North Pacific for the 6th of Feb 2015 are dominated by a strong Low Pressure.

3D Representation NH 06 Feb 2015 Mean Sea Level Pressure by Diego Fdez-Sevilla

The interaction of the Jet Stream, pushing from West to East, extents the influence of this Low Pressure creating a corridor of low pressure moving across the North American continent.

3D Representation NH 06 Feb 2015 Wind speed and direction by Diego Fdez-SevillaThe current conditions resemble those found previously to the formation of the Storm  Juno beginning on the 23th Jan 2015. For more details see the post: The origin of the Storm “Juno” 27 Jan 2015 (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla)

3D recreation Atm Pressure NH by Diego FdezSevillaBased on the actual conditions and the events which followed the Low pressure from the 23th Jan I would assume that the probabilities of seeing the development of a new storm over the East coast of North America are high. I would say that the level of uncertainty relies on the possible coincidence of finding currents of the Gulf of Mexico moving North, carrying moisture falling in form of precipitation and generating a thermal contrast enough to fuel strong winds. On the other hand, without a warm and wet current of air arriving from the Gulf of Mexico what is left is the high probability of finding cold masses of air being carried by a Low Pressure on the North side of the Jet Stream moving towards the East coast of the EEUU. You can see the NOAA’s weather prediction website following this link.

Weather forecast Tue Feb 10 2015 NOAA

About Europe, a cold wave has come throughout Europe getting as far South as Spain where its impact left a profound print in form of cold temperatures, snow and rain.

snow-february-2015

Europe is suffering the configuration of a pattern in atmospheric circulation which brings moisture from the Gulf of Mexico all across the Atlantic being dragged far into the North by a High pressure situated over the UK. I am sure that such configuration will have some repercussion when considering its interpretation as part of the “naturally standardised” AO/NAO oscillations.

Pressure 10 Feb 2015 by diego Fdez-Sevilla

TPW 10 Feb 2015 by diego Fdez-Sevilla

(This post is part of a more complex piece of independent research. I believe that the hypothesis that I have presented in previous posts in this blog (here and here) could help to understand present and possible future scenarios in atmospheric circulation. However, this is an assessment based on observation which needs to be validated throughout open discussion and data gathering.

I would like to not only be the one proposing this theory but also be involved in this line of research. Since I am in a transition period looking for a position in research, I publicly ask for institutional and economic support to find the means to contribute evaluating the accuracy of this theory.

(If you feel like sharing this post I would appreciate to have a reference about the place or platform, by private or public message, in order for me to have the opportunity to join the debate and be aware of the repercussion which might generate d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com)

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About Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

Citing This Site "Title", published online "Month"+"Year", retrieved on "Month""Day", "Year" from http://www.diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com. By Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD. More guidance on citing this web as a source can be found at NASA webpage: http://solarsystem.nasa.gov/bibliography/citations#! DOIs can be generated on demand by request at email: d.fdezsevilla(at)gmail.com for those publications missing at the ResearchGate profile vinculated with this project. **Author´s profile: Born in 1974. Bachelor in General Biology, Masters degree "Licenciado" in Environmental Sciences (2001, Spain). PhD in Aerobiology (2007, UK). Lived, acquired training and worked in Spain, UK, Germany and Poland. I have shared the outcome from my work previous to 2013 as scientific speaker in events held in those countries as well as in Switzerland and Finland. After 12 years performing research and working in institutions linked with environmental research and management, in 2013 I found myself in a period of transition searching for a new position or funding to support my own line of research. In the current competitive scenario, in order to demonstrate my capacities instead of just moving my cv waiting for my next opportunity to arrive, I decided to invest my energy and time in opening my own line of research sharing it in this blog. In March 2017 the budget reserved for this project has ended and its weekly basis time frame discontinued until new forms of economic and/or institutional support are incorporated into the project. The value of the data and the original nature of the research presented in this platform and at LinkedIn has proved to be worthy of consideration by the scientific community as well as for publication in scientific journals. However, without a position as member of an institution, it becomes very challenging to be published. I hope that this handicap do not overshadow the value of my achievements and that the Intellectual Property Rights generated with the license of attribution attached are respected and considered by the scientist involved in similar lines of research. **Any comment and feedback aimed to be constructive is welcome as well as any approach exploring professional opportunities to be part of.** In this blog I publish pieces of research focused on addressing relevant environmental questions. Furthermore, I try to break the barrier that academic publications very often offer isolating scientific findings from the general public. In that way I address those topics which I am familiar with, thanks to my training in environmental research, making them available throughout my posts. (see "Framework and Timeline" for a complete index). At this moment, 2017, I am living in Spain with no affiliation attachments. Free to relocate geographically worldwide. If you feel that I could be a contribution to your institution, team and projects don´t hesitate in contact me at d.fdezsevilla (at) gmail.com or consult my profile at LinkedIn, ResearchGate and Academia.edu. Also, I'd appreciate information about any opportunity that you might know and believe it could match with my aptitudes. The conclusions and ideas expressed in each post as part of my own creativity are part of my Intellectual Portfolio and are protected by Intellectual Property Laws. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial conditions. In citing my work from this website, be sure to include the date of access. (c)Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD, 2017. Filling in or Finding Out the gaps around. Publication accessed 20YY-MM-DD at https://diegofdezsevilla.wordpress.com/
This entry was posted in Aerobiology, Energy Balance, Extreme climatic events, Filling in, Polar vortex and Jet Stream, Water vapour and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink.

101 Responses to Meteorological Outlook Feb 2015 (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla)

  1. Pingback: Statistical Significance and The Scary Side of Being Mild (by Diego Fdez-Sevilla PhD) | Diego Fdez-Sevilla, PhD.

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